Bitcoin vs BNB: 12 months, side by side.
In the 12 months to Oct 10, 2026, Bitcoin fell 26.6% and BNB 36.3%: BNB lost 9.7 percentage points more than Bitcoin. They swung about as hard as each other, and their daily moves lined up fairly closely (correlation 0.80).
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How much each one swung
Bitcoin and BNB were about equally volatile: 44.3% and 48.3% annualized. BNB moved more than 5% in a day 20 times, Bitcoin 17 times. Their typical days were close in size: a median move of 1.26% for Bitcoin and 1.20% for BNB. Their worst day was the same, Feb 5, 2026: Bitcoin fell 13.9% and BNB 12.8%. The day they parted most was a rally for both, May 30, 2026, but BNB rose 11.8% and Bitcoin only 0.5%.
| Measure | Bitcoin | BNB |
|---|---|---|
| Close on Oct 10, 2025 | $113,000 | $1,177 |
| Close on Oct 10, 2026 | $82,913 | $749.62 |
| 1-year change | -26.6% | -36.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 44.3% | 48.3% |
| Median daily move | 1.26% | 1.20% |
| Days with a move over 5% | 17 | 20 |
| Best day | +12.2%, Feb 6, 2026 | +14.7%, Oct 12, 2025 |
| Worst day | -13.9%, Feb 5, 2026 | -12.8%, Feb 5, 2026 |
| Maximum drawdown | -49.2% | -58.1% |
| Lowest close | $58,532, Jun 30, 2026 | $545.61, Jun 30, 2026 |
| Days that closed higher | 175 of 365 | 184 of 365 |
| $500, one buy | $366.87 | $318.51 |
| $500, 52 weekly buys | $540.43 | $531.07 |
How closely Bitcoin and BNB moved together
The link was real but looser than between most large coins: a correlation of 0.80, with 53 of the 365 days going opposite ways. On average BNB moved 0.87% for every 1% move in Bitcoin, a smaller reaction than one for one.
Head to head, day by day, it was close to even: Bitcoin had the better day on 186 of the 365 days, BNB on 179. $500 in each, bought on Oct 10, 2025 and held, ended at $366.87 in Bitcoin and $318.51 in BNB. The lead changed hands during the year: the Bitcoin holding was ahead by up to 34% on May 5, 2026, and behind by up to 8% on Oct 12, 2025. Bitcoin also did better in six of the 11 full months. The sharpest split was May 2026, when Bitcoin went -3.6% and BNB +15.4%.
The deepest falls
BNB's maximum drawdown went 9.0 percentage points deeper: 58.1%, from $1,303 on Oct 12, 2025 to $545.61 on Jun 30, 2026. Bitcoin's worst run was 49.2%. Both hit their lowest close of the window on the same day, Jun 30, 2026. By Oct 10, 2026, Bitcoin was 28.0% below its 12-month high and BNB 42.5% below its own.
Next to the other 17 comparisons
- Ranked by correlation, from most to least linked, this pair came sixteenth of 18.
- Ranked by how far apart the two 1-year results were, it came twelfth of 18.
- By the difference in volatility between the two coins, it ranked thirteenth of the 18 pairs.
$500 in each: one buy or 52 weekly buys
Spreading the $500 over 52 weekly buys beat a single buy on Oct 10, 2025 for both coins: almost every weekly buy, 51 for Bitcoin and 51 for BNB, came below the starting price. Both weekly tests ended above the $500 put in, Bitcoin at $540.43 and BNB at $531.07. Bitcoin's weekly test finished $9.36 ahead of BNB's.
Bitcoin, one buy
$366.87
-26.6%
0.00442 BTC at $113,000.
Bitcoin, 52 weekly buys
$540.43
+8.1%
Average cost $76,710 per BTC.
BNB, one buy
$318.51
-36.3%
0.425 BNB at $1,177.
BNB, 52 weekly buys
$531.07
+6.2%
Average cost $705.76 per BNB.
Method: Kraken daily closes (UTC) from Oct 10, 2025 to Oct 10, 2026, one buy of $500 at the first close or $500 / 52 at every seventh close, both valued at the last close with no fees. Other amounts: DCA calculator.
What sets Bitcoin and BNB apart
Bitcoin is a decentralized network that no company runs. BNB was created by the Binance exchange in 2017 and now powers BNB Chain, where it pays the transaction fees, and Binance gives trading-fee discounts to users who pay fees with it. Part of the BNB supply is burned every quarter, while Bitcoin's supply grows slowly toward its 21 million cap.
BNB's value is tied to the Binance ecosystem, so news about the exchange itself, including regulatory action, has moved its price. Bitcoin has no company behind it, so company news cannot hit it in the same way.
Each coin's full year: Bitcoin trading simulator and BNB trading simulator.
How to compare Bitcoin and BNB in Staxo
- Step 1
Find both in the Market tab
Bitcoin and BNB are both among the 10 coins on Staxo's free plan, so you can trade them with the $500 in demo money you start with, using market orders and up to 10 trades a day.
- Step 2
Buy the same amount of each
Put $100 into each at the same moment. They swung about equally over the last year, so on most days the two positions should move by similar amounts.
- Step 3
Check them side by side
Open your Portfolio once a day and count the days the two positions go opposite ways. Over the last 12 months that happened on 53 of 365 days, often enough to notice within two weeks.
- Step 4
Read the RSI on both charts
The coin screen shows the RSI(14) on the free plan. Over the last year the two spent about as many days below 30 (22 and 20) and above 70 (15 and 14). Staxo Pro adds MACD, Bollinger Bands and candlestick charts, plus short selling and leverage at 1x, 2x and 5x.
Bitcoin vs BNB questions
Which was more volatile, Bitcoin or BNB?
Neither by much. From Oct 10, 2025 to Oct 10, 2026 their annualized volatility was 44.3% for Bitcoin and 48.3% for BNB, and their deepest falls were 49.2% and 58.1%.
Do Bitcoin and BNB move together?
Mostly. The correlation of their daily returns was 0.80 over the 365 days to Oct 10, 2026 (1 means always together), and 53 days went in opposite directions.
Which did better over the last 12 months, Bitcoin or BNB?
Bitcoin lost less: -26.6% against -36.3% for BNB from Oct 10, 2025 to Oct 10, 2026. $500 in 52 weekly buys ended at $540.43 in Bitcoin and $531.07 in BNB. That describes the past year only and says nothing about which will do better next.
More comparisons
Trade Bitcoin and BNB with $500 in demo money.
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Educational content, not investment advice. The figures describe prices from Oct 10, 2025 to Oct 10, 2026 and say nothing about which coin does better next. Staxo is a simulator: you practice with demo money, never real money.